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APPENDIX TABLE IV-F.-Estimated distribution, by type, of mortgage loan holdings1 at end of year by mutual savings banks, 1954-70 [Amounts in millions of dollars; current dollars for 1954-59; 1959 dollars for 1960-70]

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1 Potential holdings for 1960-70.

NOTE. Component figures may not add to totals due to rounding.

NOTES ON COLUMNS

1954-59: Amounts from Federal Reserve Bulletin, October 1960, p. 1161; percentages and annual net increases derived.

1960-70: Cols. 1 and 2: From table 24, cols. 5 and 7, respectively.

Col. 3: Projected at a slightly declining amount during 1960-70, based on 1954-59 experi

ence.

Cols. 4, 6, 9, and 12: Derived by application of percentages in cols. 5, 7, 10, and 13, respectively, as a percentage of total mortgages (col. 1).

Col. 5: Projected to show slight decline in first few years, based on expectation that

commercial construction will be at a relatively low level until housing construction
résumes higher levels.

Col. 7: Projected to show changes offsetting changes in farm and nonresidential com-
ponents.
Cols. 10 and 13: Projected in expectation of continuing trend toward more FHA and
VA loans until mortgage credit tightens in latter years of the decade.

Cols. 8, 11, and 14: Derived from cols. 6, 9, and 12, respectively (year-to-year changes).

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APPENDIX TABLE IV-G.-Estimated distribution, by type, of mortgage loan holdings 1 at end of year by life insurance companies, 1954–70 [Amounts in millions of dollars; current dollars for 1954-59; 1959 dollars for 1960-70]

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1 Potential holdings for 1960-70.

NOTE.-Component figures may not add to totals due to rounding.

NOTES ON COLUMNS

1954-59: Amounts from Institute of Life Insurance, 1960 "Life Insurance Fact Book,'
p. 81, except that col. 13 has been estimated by HHFA and col. 5 is a residual ofnonfarm
conventional mortgages, as given by the Institute of Life Insurance, after subtraction of
col. 13. Col. 7 is the sum of cols. 10 and 13. All percentages and nanual net increases
are derived.

1960-70: Cols. 1 and 2: From table 25, cols. 5 and 7, respectively.

Cols. 3, 5, 7, 10, and 13: Derived by application of percentages in cols. 4, 6, 8, 11, and 14, respectively, to col. 1 (total mortgages).

Col. 4: Projected in expectation that downtrend of recent years will continue.

Col. 6: Projected on assumption of reduced level of commercial construction in early
years, with pickup later, following trend of residential construction.

Col. 8: A residual of 100 percent, after subtraction of cols. 4 and 6.

Cols. 11 and 14: Projected to reffect more FHA and VA investment when mortgage credit is expected to be in easy supply and vice versa.

Cols. 9, 12 and 15: Derived from cols. 7, 10, and 13, respectivdly, (year-to-year changes).

APPENDIX TABLE IV-H.-Estimated distribution, by type, of mortgage loan holdings 1 at end of year by commercial banks, 1954-70 [Amounts in millions of dollars; current dollars for 1954-59; 1959 dollars for 1960-70]

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1954-59: Amounts from the Federal Reserve Bulletin, September 1960, p. 1161. Per-
centages and annual net increases are derived.
1960-70: Col. 1: From table 27, col. 8.

Col. 4: Projected at a slight decline during 1960-70, based on 1954-59 experience.
Col. 6: Projected to remain fairly stable 1960-63 and then gradually increase during
1964-70, following an anticipated increase in commercial construction whose course gen-
erally follows that of residential construction with a lag.

Col. 11: Projected in expectation of relatively more FHA and VA loans in the early
years of the decade when mortgage credit demands are expected to be low, until credit
tightens in the later years.

Cols. 8 and 14: Derived as residuals of cols. 4 and 6, and cols. 8 and 11, respectively, from
100 percent.

Cols. 3, 5, 7, 10, and 13: Derived by application of percentages from cols. 4, 6, 8, 11, and
14, respectively, as a percent of total mortgages (col. 1).

Cols. 2, 9, 12, and 15: Derived from cols. 1, 7, 10, and 13, respectively (year-to-year
changes).

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APPENDIX TABLE IV-I.-Estimated distribution, by type, of net annual increases in mortgage holdings of consumers and nonprofit organizations, private (noninsured) pension funds, and State and local government, 1955-70

[Amounts in billions of dollars; current dollars for 1955-59; 1959 dollars for 1960-70]

Net increases in mortgage holdings

Net increase in non-
residential mortgage
holdings for all three
segments

Net increases in residential mortgage holdings for all three segments

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66225-61-12

1 Potential net increases for 1960-70.

1954-59: Col. 1: From table 21, line 18.

Col. 2: From appendix table IV-C, line 7.

NOTES ON COLUMNS

Col. 3: From "Flow of Funds Data," Federal Reserve Board, Federal Reserve Bulletin, August 1960, p. 943, table (F).

Col. 4: Sum of cols. 1, 2, and 3.

Col. 5: Derived-col. 4 minus col. 7.

Cols. 6, 8, 10, and 12: Derived percentages-cols. 5, 7, 9, and 11, as a percentage of col. 4. Cols. 7, 9, and 11: From residential mortgage holdings by individuals and othersestimates by HHFA; published in Housing Statistics, March 1960, "Annual Data,' p. 41, table A-40.

1960-70: Col. 1: From table 21, line 18.

Col. 2: From table 26, col. 5.

Col. 3: Judgment projection, in line with movement of line 17 in table 22.

Col. 4: Sum of cols. 1, 2, and 3.

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Cols. 5, 7, 9, and 11: Derived by application of percentages in cols. 6, 8, 10, and 12, respectively, to total net increase (col. 4).

Col. 6: Projected for 1960 at average for 1956-59, and then decreased slightly in each year to reflect an expected relative increase in investments by pension funds and State and local governments (i.e., their retirement funds) in FHA and VA mortgages.

Col. 8: A residual of 100 percent minus col. 6, to reflect the same expected trends men-
tioned in the preceding note.

Cols. 10 and 11: Projected for 1960 to show distribution between FHA-VA and con-
ventional about in accordance with 1955-59 experience; then, projection over the decade
reflects an expectation of a gradual shift to a relatively greater FHA-VA proportion as
the private pension funds account for a greater share of the total mortgage investments
by the three segments; the pension funds are expected to concentrate their mortgage
investments to a great extent in FHA-insured and VA-guaranteed mortgages.

APPENDIX TABLE V-A.-Projected net annual flow of total short-term and long-term investment funds into the market, 1961-70

[Amounts in billions of 1959 dollars]

Line

Type of maturity and source 1961 1962 1963 1964 1965 1966 1967 1968 1969

1970

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Line 6: From table 18, line 19. (This amount will be met out of private life insurance savings shown in table 22, line 5.)

Line 7: Line 5 of table 21 minus col. 9 of table 27.

Line 8: From appendix table III-K, col. 2.

Line 9: A residual of line 1 minus line 2.

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