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Accident and Health Insurance.

companies writing this form of inThe volume of business transacted by surance in 1912 is shown below:

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During the year 1912 two new vention of the International AssociAmerican companies confining their ation of Casualty and Surety Underactivities solely to this class of in- writers, in August, 1912. The entire surance entered the field, while one matter of adopting a standard policy foreign company was admitted to the form was referred by resolution to United States to write accident and the standing committee of the perhealth insurance in conjunction with sonal-accident section of the Associother casualty lines. On the other ation, with the idea that the comhand, three companies discontinued mittee prepare a report by Oct. 1, the business, two by reinsurance and and that the proposed policy changes one by merger. In the YEAR BOOK become effective on Jan. 1, 1913. Alfor 1912 (p. 363) it was stated that, though the resolution was adopted although premiums showed a substan- unanimously, certain companies did tial increase in recent years, the ratio not find acceptable the standing comof losses to income reflected a con-mittee's recommendations for changes siderable increase, especially in the in the policy, with the result that case of health insurance. This ten- no definite action was taken in this dency, as indicated by the table, has continued during the year 1912, the ratio of losses to premiums in accident insurance having increased from 43.2 per cent. in 1911 to 45 per cent. in 1912, and in health insurance from 46.6 to 49 per cent. This unfavorable showing is probably traceable in the main to the ever-growing hazard of the automobile. Edwin DeLeon states in the Insurance Year Book for 1913 that the experience of the largest and oldest company in the business shows the losses from the automobile hazard to have increased from 2.9 per cent. of the total during the five years from 1902 to 1906 inclusive to 6.05 per cent. in 1908, to 11.4 in 1909, to 14.1 in 1910, and to 21.8 in 1911.

important matter, despite the in-
crease in the loss ratio. In the early
part of June, however, the insurance
press announced the terms of the
new standard accident contract agreed
to by the standing committee of the
accident section of the International
Association of Casualty and Surety
Underwriters. Their report recom-
mended that no policy be issued with-
out a signed application; that chil-
'dren's insurance and beneficiary in-
surance be eliminated; that the words
"external and violent" be used in con-
nection with the phrase "accidental
means" in the insuring clauses of the
policy; that there be adopted a defi-
nite accumulation benefit clause, and
that thereafter no substitute shall be
offered for the accumulations outlined
in the recommendation, either by
rider, endorsement or the issuance of
a policy giving the accumulations in
full, with or without an additional
premium; and that "no policy of ac-
cident insurance should be issued dur-

Most of the leading underwriters during the year 1912 continued their efforts to eliminate unreasonable competition along the line of granting gratuitous benefits to policyholders. Their efforts finally took the form of united action at the annual con

ing the year 1914 giving greater ing from 29.3 per cent. in 1911 to benefits or introducing into accident 27 per cent. in 1912. It should be policies features providing benefits not noted that the increase in premium contained in policies that are now proposed to be issued even for an additional premium." All of the recommendations adopted by the standing committee were submitted in the form of an agreement to the various companies with a request that they affirm the action of the committee and sign the agreement.

income took place entirely in the surety business, the premiums from this business increasing from $7,169,793 to $10,122,266 in 1912. Fidelity premiums, on the other hand, declined from $10,435,719 in 1911 to $9,120,918 in 1912.

While three companies ceased writing fidelity and surety risks during 1912 by reinsurance, at least ten new companies entered the field. Despite the increase in competition, however, no serious attempts were made to

Among the remaining important events relating to this form of insurance should be mentioned the enact ment of standard health and accident policy laws by New York, North Car-cut rates or commissions. This favorolina, Minnesota and Vermont, and the formation of the American Association of Accident Underwriters. The formal organization of this Association occurred in May, and at the meeting there were present about 50 representatives of health and accident companies from all parts of the country.

Fidelity and Surety Insurance.— The data of the issue of the Insurance Year Book for 1913 show that the combined premiums received by fidelity and surety companies aggregated $19,243,184 during 1912, or an increase of $2,285,133 over 1911. The losses increased from $4,980,430 in 1911 to $5,192,456, the ratio of losses to premiums therefore declin

YEAR

able condition of affairs, judging from the insurance press, has not continued during 1913. Toward the close of August it was reported that one of the largest New York companies declined to withdraw certain agents who were not working in accord with the rules adopted by the Surety Association, and that another important company resigned from the Association on the ground that: "it did not care to continue in an organization which could not control its own members." Rate wars at this particular time are considered highly undesirable in the business and for this reason the uncertain future of the Association is lamented by many under. writers.

FIDELITY AND SURETY INSURANCE

Ratio of Losses to Premiums

1912.

1911

1910.

1909 1908.

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27.0

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The chief problem which confronted the business during 1912 was the increasing liability of surety companies under contractors' construction bonds in states where workmen's compensation laws have been adopted. According to Mr. DeLeon's account in the 1913 Insurance Year Book:

These laws materially increase the liability of the contractor and therefore of the surety company, for the owner draws his contract for the construction of a building so as to provide that the contractor shall indemnify the owner against

every known hazard or contingency, including claims by workmen under these compensation laws, and for the same reason the general contractor shifts this burden whenever possible upon the shoulthese laws provide in specific terms that ders of the sub-contractor. Many of the owner shall be directly liable under certain conditions for injuries sustained by employees of contractors on work let or subject, with the result that the surety bond is conditioned for the performance of all the terms of the contract, and if liability attaches to the owner for injuries to workmen this obligation must be assumed by the contractor and the surety company.

XV. POPULATION AND IMMIGRATION

WALTER F. WILLCOX

POPULATION

proportion of the widowed has remained about the same. Obviously

Classification by Marital Condition. | the decreasing proportion of children -During 1913 statistics showing the explains a part, but only a part, of population of the United States in the increasing prevalence of married 1910, distributed by marital condition, life. were given to the public. A similar Federal inquiry was carried to completion for the first time in 1890, and thus we now have figures covering a 20-year period. In the total population of the United States the proportion of single has been steadily falling and that of the married steadily rising. In 20 years the single have declined from 59.3 to 55.4 per cent. of the population, or nearly four per cent. This decrease in the second decade was more rapid than in the first. Within the same period the proportion of married rose from 35.7 to 38.9 per cent. of the population. There has been a slight increase also in the proportion of widowed. Clearly married life is becoming more and more general.

In casting about for an explanation of these surprising figures the first possibility which occurs is that they may be connected with the decreasing proportion of children, or, what is another way of expressing the same fact, the increasing proportion of people of marriageable age. The correctness of this guess can be tested by excluding from the comparison all who are too young to marry. For this purpose the dividing line between children and adults is usually assumed to be 15 years. The figures show, however, that among adults, as thus defined, married life has become more common and single life less common. proportion of married among adults has risen in 20 years from 55.3 to 57.3 per cent. and that of single has fallen from 36.9 to 34.4 per cent., while the

The

In the southern states, that is, the South-Atlantic and South-Central, the proportion of single persons in the adult population is less, and the proportion of married and of widowed is greater, than it is in the northern states, that is, the North-Atlantic and North-Central. The proportion of single in the northern states, while greater than in the southern, is noticeably less than in the Far West, and likewise the proportion of married in the northern states, while less than in the southern, is greater than in the West. In all sections, however, the proportion of single has been falling and the proportion of married rising.

Changes similar to those in progress in the whole country and its main divisions were in progress also during the 20 years in nearly all of the states; for example, among the males over 15 the proportion of bachelors decreased between 1890 and 1910 in every state except Minnesota and South Dakota; and in the same period the proportion of husbands increased in every state except Rhode Island, Wisconsin, Minnesota and the Dakotas. The proportion of widowers increased in every state except North Dakota and Wyoming.

The increase in the prevalence of married life and the decrease in the postponement of marriage or abstinence from it are clear and countrywide. It might be said that these figures, referring as they do to all persons over 15 years of age, do not prove that marriage is taking place

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Total. Single.

Married, widowed, or

divorced.

Married..

Widowed

Divorced

Marital condition not reported.

47,332,277 100.0 44,639,989 100.0 32,425,805 100.0 30,047,325 100.0 27,455,607 58.0 23,522,121 52.7 12,550,129 38.7 8,933,170 29.7

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as early as formerly. In other words, | 15.
the tendency to postpone marriage,
often asserted to exist in the United
States, may really exist and yet be
masked by an increase in the propor-
tion of married persons among those
of a higher age. To test this conjec-
ture, the proportion married among
young women at ages between 15 and
19 and in both sexes at ages between
20 and 24 is given below:

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These figures show that the proportion of young men who are married has increased 5.2 per cent. in the 20 years. The proportion of girls under 20 years of age who are married has increased about two per cent. and that of young women between 20 and 24 years of age has increased about three per cent. Obviously early marriage was more common in the United States in 1910 than it was 20 years earlier. When the higher ages are studied, somewhat different results appear. Under 35 years of age the proportion of men who were married was greater in 1910 than in 1890; above that age the proportion was less. As the number of men between 15 and 35 years of age is greater than the number over 35, the increasing proportion of married below that age controls the total results at all ages over

These figures show in the United States as a whole no trace of a change often believed to be in progress, whereby postponement of marriage or abstinence from marriage is becoming more general. This unexpected result is the more remarkable, since during these 20 years there has been a great increase in the proportion of urban population, which in 1890 constituted 36 per cent., and in 1910, 46 per cent., of the total population. An analysis made for 1900 shows that in cities the proportion married is distinctly less than in country districts. An explanation of these figures is probably to be sought in the very rapid increase of immigration since 1890, the large number of marriages among recent immigrants and the youthful age at which they marry. If this conjecture be correct, the growth of immigration has been more than sufficient to offset any tendency that might otherwise have been detected in the general population towards a postponement of marriage or even an abstention from it.

As the figures showing the increase of married in the total population deserve further analysis, a distinction has been drawn between white and negro. Among negro adults, or persons over 15, the proportion of married is the same for the two sexes.

It is greater than the proportion of married among white males and less than the proportion of married among white females. The difference between white males and white females, whereby the proportion of married white women exceeds that of married white men by over three per cent., is mainly due, no doubt, to the large excess of males in the total white population of the country. In the white population over 15 years of age the men outnumber the women by two and onequarter million, or by four in every hundred.

figures 10-year periods have been used, a great improvement on previous American practice and a long step towards the 5-year periods used in the best foreign studies. The death rates have been found by averaging the deaths for the three years 1909, 1910 and 1911, in the population of the state outside New York City and Buffalo. The results for men are as follows:

AGE PERIOD

20-29

50-59 60-69

Death Rate by Marital Condition.During the past year a study of the comparative death rates of the single, 30-39 the married and the widowed in New 40-49. York State outside of New York City and Buffalo, has yielded interesting results. Prior to this study the only American figures upon the death rate of the single, the married and the widowed were those found in the Fed

70-79.
80 and over.

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The most obvious fact indicated by these figures is that the death rate for husbands is much lower than that for single men at each age group except the highest, where it is about the same.

The percentage of difference is greatest at the ages 30 to 39 and 40 to 49, where the death rate of husbands is somewhat less than onehalf that of bachelors.

The table also shows that the death

rate of widowers and divorced men is considerably higher than that of husbands of the same age, and between the ages of 30 and 80 is not far from the death rate of bachelors of the same If husbands lose their wives, then, they lose much of the chance of longevity which marriage secures them; and, in general, the younger they are, the greater proportion of this chance they lose.

age.

eral censuses of 1890 and 1900, and in them only three age classes, namely, 15 to 44, 45 to 64, and 65 and over, were recognized. The ratios which resulted were practically valueless because 20 or more years were included in each age class, and in any class of that size the average age of married persons would be higher than that of single persons and lower than that of widowed. To take an example from the class between 15 and 44 years of age, the average age of American bachelors is nearly 24, that of husbands nearly 34, and that of widowers nearly 36 years. Similarly the average age of spinsters in this age class is 22.4, that of wives 31.7 and that of widows 35 years. These differences in age alone, even if there were no other difference in the mortality of the single, the married and the widowed, would make the death rate of husbands 15 to 44 years of age 21 per cent., and the death rate of widowers 26 per cent., above that of bachelors in the same age period. For the same reason the death rate of wives would exceed that of spinsters by 26 per cent. and that of widows would exceed it by 34 per cent. To get an adequate measure of the relation be- 50-59 60-69 tween marriage and mortality the age classes should include no than five years. In the New York

The following table shows corresponding figures for women:

AGE PERIOD

20-29 30-39 40-49

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70-79
80 and over.

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