 Imagine that the US is preparing for the outbreak of an unusual Asian disease, which is expected to kill 600 people. Two alternative programs to combat the disease have been proposed. Assume that the exact scientific estimates of the consequences of the...  The SAGE Handbook of Social Science Methodology - 178. lappuselaboja - 2007 - 640 lapasIerobežota priekšskatīšana - Par šo grāmatu
 | Baruch Fischhoff - 1981 - 228 lapas
...combat the disease have been proposed. Assume that the consequences of the programs are as follows: If program A is adopted, 200 people will be saved. If program B is adopted, there is one-third probability that 600 people will be saved, and two-third probability that no people will... | |
 | Jonathan Baron - 2005 - 312 lapas
...kill 600 people. Two alternative programs to combat the disease have been proposed . . . :" Problem 1. If Program A is adopted, 200 people will be saved. If Program B is adopted, there is a 1/3 probability that 600 people will be saved and 2/3 probability that no people will be saved. Problem... | |
 | J. Richard Eiser - 1986 - 420 lapas
...alternative interventions, concerning which subjects have to assume the following estimates to be exact: If Program A is adopted, 200 people will be saved. If Program B is adopted, there is 1/3 probability that 600 people will be saved, and 2/3 probability that no people will be saved, (p.... | |
 | Peter Asch - 1988 - 183 lapas
...proposed. Assume that the exact scientific estimate of the consequences of the programs are as follows: If program A is adopted, 200 people will be saved. If program B is adopted, there is a !/s probability that 600 people will be saved, and % probability that no people will be saved. Which... | |
 | David E. Bell, Howard Raiffa, Amos Tversky - 1988 - 640 lapas
...preventative programs. In one case, the possible consequences of the two programs are described as follows: If program A is adopted, 200 people will be saved. If program B is adopted, there is 3 probability that 600 people will be saved, and 3 probability that no people will be saved. In the... | |
 | John I. Balla, Margaret Gibson, Anne M. Chang - 1989 - 200 lapas
...of the programmes are as follows: If Programme A is adopted, 200 people will be saved. If Programme B is adopted, there is a one-third probability that...probability that no people will be saved. Which of the two programmes would you favour? Programme A was chosen by 72% while programme B was chosen by 28%. Problem... | |
 | Robert A. Dahl - 2008 - 414 lapas
...alternative programs have been proposed. If one is adopted, 200 people will be saved. If the other is adopted, there is a one-third probability that...will be saved, and a twothirds probability that no one will be saved. So which program should be adopted? There is no unambiguously right answer to this... | |
 | Brian Barry - 1989 - 452 lapas
...combat the disease have been proposed. Assume that the consequences of the programs are as follows: If Program A is adopted, 200 people will be saved. If Program B is adopted, there is 1/3 probability that 600 people will be saved, and 2/3 probability that no people will be saved. Which... | |
 | James S. Coleman - 1994 - 1022 lapas
...is expected to kill about 600 persons. Version I of the hypothetical situation is stated as follows: If program A is adopted, 200 people will be saved. If program B is adopted, there is a probability of 1/3 that 600 people will be saved and a probability of 2/3 that no one will be saved.... | |
 | Karen Schweers Cook, Margaret Levi - 2008 - 436 lapas
...proposed. Assume that the exact scientific estimate of the consequences of the programs are as follows: If program A is adopted, 200 people will be saved. If Program B is adopted, there is l A probability that 600 people will be saved, and 2 /3 probability that no people will be saved. Seventy-two... | |
| |
